SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Anderlecht |
27.28% ( -0.45) | 23.51% ( -0.06) | 49.2% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 58.81% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.03) | 42.48% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% ( -0.03) | 64.88% ( 0.03) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.34) | 28.79% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.42) | 64.64% ( 0.42) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( 0.18) | 17.41% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( 0.32) | 47.85% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.29% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 49.2% |
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