SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Anderlecht |
30.14% ( 0.28) | 24.61% ( -0.01) | 45.25% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.33% ( 0.18) | 45.67% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.01% ( 0.17) | 67.99% ( -0.17) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( 0.28) | 28.41% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.35) | 64.17% ( -0.35) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( -0.05) | 20.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( -0.08) | 52.63% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.14% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.6% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.25% |
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