Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.58%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Cercle Brugge win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
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