SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Genk had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Anderlecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Genk |
41.99% ( 0.01) | 23.82% ( -0) | 34.19% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0) | 40.45% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( 0) | 62.83% ( 0) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.01) | 19.55% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.54% ( 0.01) | 51.46% ( -0.01) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0) | 23.4% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( -0.01) | 57.39% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.65% 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.19% |
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