SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 54.42%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Anderlecht | Draw | Leuven |
54.42% ( 0.03) | 22.14% ( -0.01) | 23.44% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( 0.02) | 39.67% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.98% ( 0.02) | 62.02% ( -0.02) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.01) | 14.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.37% ( 0.03) | 42.63% ( -0.03) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.01) | 30.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( -0.02) | 66.46% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Anderlecht | Draw | Leuven |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.42% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.13% | 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.44% |
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