SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.1% ( -0.13) | 22.93% ( 0) | 20.98% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.45% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.84% ( 0.14) | 46.16% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.54% ( 0.13) | 68.46% ( -0.14) |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0) | 16.27% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( 0.01) | 45.81% ( -0.01) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.84% ( 0.2) | 36.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.06% ( 0.21) | 72.94% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leyton Orient | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 0.98% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.98% |
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