This game is a tough one to call, but Lincoln have already lost here this season in the league and are out of form heading into the tie.
Crawley have shown signs of improvement under Elliot and will be feeling positive after their recent 1-0 win against Rotherham, therefore we are picking them to win this game by the same score.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.02) 
