While Crawley hope to capitalise on Rotherham's recent losing run on their travels, the club with the third-worst home record may have to settle for a point when the Millers visit East Sussex this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.