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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
RL

Crawley
1 - 0
Rotherham

Swan (20')
Anderson (46'), Mullarkey (57'), Wollacott (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Evans (47'), McWilliams (59'), Raggett (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Rotherham United

While Crawley hope to capitalise on Rotherham's recent losing run on their travels, the club with the third-worst home record may have to settle for a point when the Millers visit East Sussex this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawRotherham United
31.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 23.54%45.11% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.5% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.012 0.01)40.13% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.009999999999998 0.01)62.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.1% (0.019000000000005 0.02)24.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.48% (0.026999999999994 0.03)59.51% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)18.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.05% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 31.35%
    Rotherham United 45.11%
    Draw 23.54%
Crawley TownDrawRotherham United
2-1 @ 7.45% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.35%
1-1 @ 10.71%
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.54%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.21% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 45.11%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Crawley 2-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Northampton 3-0 Crawley
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bradford 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Rotherham
Friday, November 8 at 7.15pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 1-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Rotherham 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One


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