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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 23, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
BL

Crawley
0 - 1
Birmingham


John-Jules (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stansfield (79')
Klarer (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-3 Birmingham City

Birmingham will be full of confidence after winning each of their last six competitive matches, and as one of the strongest teams in the division, we think that they will claim a relatively comfortable win against Crawley to move to the top of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 2-1 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
13.7% (-0.694 -0.69) 17.76% (0.246 0.25) 68.54% (0.449 0.45)
Both teams to score 56.04% (-3.038 -3.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.65% (-2.929 -2.93)35.34% (2.93 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.62% (-3.324 -3.32)57.37% (3.325 3.33)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84% (-2.876 -2.88)38.15% (2.878 2.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.08% (-2.882 -2.88)74.92% (2.883 2.88)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.61% (-0.667 -0.67)9.38% (0.668 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.42% (-1.604 -1.6)31.58% (1.605 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 13.7%
    Birmingham City 68.54%
    Draw 17.76%
Crawley TownDrawBirmingham City
2-1 @ 3.93% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.246 0.25)
2-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 1.26% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 13.7%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.346 0.35)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.316 -0.32)
0-0 @ 3.58% (0.505 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.225 -0.23)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 17.76%
0-2 @ 10.02% (0.868 0.87)
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.121 0.12)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.969 0.97)
0-3 @ 7.91% (0.461 0.46)
1-3 @ 7.62% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.135 0.14)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-3 @ 3.67% (-0.371 -0.37)
0-5 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-5 @ 2.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-5 @ 1.03% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 68.54%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Crawley 3-4 Lincoln
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wycombe 2-1 Crawley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-2 Birmingham
Sunday, December 1 at 1pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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