Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 68.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
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