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League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
EC

Leyton Orient
2 - 2
Exeter

O'Neill (36'), Moncur (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alli (88'), Carroll (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-2 Exeter City

The hosts may have enjoyed success at the weekend, but Exeter have won five of their last seven away matches, and we think that they will produce another strong performance on the road to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
48.03% (-0.133 -0.13) 25.11% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 26.86% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 53.15% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.24% (0.034999999999997 0.03)49.76% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.23% (0.030999999999999 0.03)71.77% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)20.74% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)53.37% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.06% (0.116 0.12)32.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.49% (0.127 0.13)69.51% (-0.125 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 48.03%
    Exeter City 26.86%
    Draw 25.11%
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 48.03%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 26.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Peterborough
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One


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