SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Exeter City |
38.21% ( 0.09) | 26.81% ( 0.01) | 34.98% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.45% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( -0.04) | 53.65% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( -0.03) | 75.15% ( 0.03) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.04) | 27.3% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( 0.05) | 62.74% ( -0.04) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.08) | 29.22% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.82% ( -0.09) | 65.17% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.2% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.98% |
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