SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Burton Albion |
44.29% ( 0.02) | 26.53% ( 0) | 29.19% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.86% ( -0.01) | 54.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( -0.01) | 75.55% ( 0.01) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( 0) | 24.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.3% ( 0.01) | 58.7% ( -0) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.56% ( -0.02) | 33.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.02) | 70.07% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.19% |
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