Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one.
Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.04) 
