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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brisbane Road
EC

Leyton Orient
0 - 1
Exeter


Ball (53'), Brown (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Richards (40')
Niskanen (44'), Caldwell (45'), McMillan (48'), Sweeney (89')
Watts (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Leyton Orient 1-1 Exeter City

Leyton Orien's recent upturn in form has seen them climb out of the relegation zone in recent weeks, and while they are on a good mini run, they are now winless in their last six home games. Exeter meanwhile have been solid defensively but it would be a tough ask for them to leave Brisbane Road with all three points, so a low-scoring draw looks to be on the cards here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
44.92% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 25.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.33% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.85% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.03% (0.053000000000004 0.05)50.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.16% (0.047000000000001 0.05)72.84% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.64% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74% (0.014000000000003 0.01)56.26% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (0.052000000000007 0.05)31.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (0.062000000000001 0.06)68.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 44.92%
    Exeter City 29.33%
    Draw 25.74%
Leyton OrientDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.51% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 44.92%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.24% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 29.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-4 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Exeter
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, September 24 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-0 Stevenage
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Swindon
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One


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