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EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
LO

Brentford
3 - 1
Leyton Orient

Carvalho (17'), Damsgaard (26'), Norgaard (45')
Norgaard (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cooper (11')
Donley (39'), Simpson (42')
Simpson (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient

If Brentford are able to replicate their first-half performance against Manchester City on Tuesday, then they should be clear favourites to progress. It would not be surprising if the Bees took an early lead against Leyton Orient, and considering the visitors' struggles this season, it is difficult to see them getting back into the game in that scenario. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawLeyton Orient
46.19% (-1.931 -1.93) 24.07% (0.585 0.59) 29.74% (1.346 1.35)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-1.113 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (-1.878 -1.88)43.46% (1.879 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (-1.871 -1.87)65.85% (1.871 1.87)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-1.5 -1.5)18.99% (1.5 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-2.554 -2.55)50.53% (2.554 2.55)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)27.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)63.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.19%
    Leyton Orient 29.74%
    Draw 24.07%
BrentfordDrawLeyton Orient
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.302 0.3)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.42 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.236 0.24)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.535 0.54)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.341 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Southampton
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Brentford
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Brentford
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace
Sunday, August 18 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 4-4 Wolfsburg
Friday, August 9 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One


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