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League One | Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
PU

Exeter
1 - 2
Peterborough

Cole (4')
Caldwell (24'), Yfeko (70')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mothersille (7'), Fernandez (45')
Wallin (23'), Curtis (90'), Collins (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Peterborough United

After showing what they are capable of in thumping Shrewsbury last weekend, Peterborough put a poor first week behind them and now look capable of kicking on in their search for promotion. Rotherham found out that St James Park is not an easy place to visit though on the opening day, but two defeats since then may have dented confidence in the Exeter ranks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Peterborough United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Peterborough United.

Result
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
27.18% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 24.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 47.87% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.0040000000000049 0)48.86% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.21% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.3% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)20.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 27.18%
    Peterborough United 47.87%
    Draw 24.94%
Exeter CityDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01%
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.18%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 9.4% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 8.3% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.87%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Exeter (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Rotherham
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 3-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Exeter 4-1 Brentford 2
Tuesday, July 30 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, August 3 at 3.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Peterborough 4-3 Notts County
Saturday, August 3 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Peterborough
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3


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