SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Fredrikstad had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Fredrikstad |
42.1% ( -0.01) | 23.9% ( -0.05) | 34% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.25% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( 0.28) | 40.91% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( 0.28) | 63.3% ( -0.28) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.3% ( 0.12) | 19.69% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.3% ( 0.18) | 51.69% ( -0.18) |
| Fredrikstad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( 0.17) | 23.73% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.14% ( 0.24) | 57.86% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Fredrikstad |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 42.1% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34% |
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