Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Lillestrom had a probability of 37.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.35%). The likeliest Lillestrom win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.

Result
Lillestrom	Draw	Viking FK
37.3% ( -0.18)	23.36% ( 0.02)	39.33% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 63.9% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.29% (

-0.1)

37.71% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.05% (

-0.11)

59.95% (

0.11)

Lillestrom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-0.13)

20.54% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

-0.21)

53.04% (

0.21)

Viking FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

0.03)

19.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49% (

0.05)

51.51% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Lillestrom 37.3%

Viking FK 39.33%

Draw 23.35%

Lillestrom	Draw	Viking FK
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 37.3%	1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 39.33%