Two contrasting styles meet at LNER Stadium on Saturday afternoon, when Birmingham are likely to dominate possession against an effective Lincoln outfit.
That being said, we do not expect an easy match for Blues, and it might be a case of grinding out a narrow victory in the closing stages.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
-0.05) 
0.08) 
