Lincoln have not lost a competitive away game since New Year's Day, and we think that they will continue that impressive run by claiming a narrow victory against a Grimsby side that has lost three of their previous five home matches in all competitions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.
-0.09) 
0.11) 
