Struggling in the third tier so far, Shrewsbury are going to be up against it as the league leaders come to town in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday.
Birmingham will rotate their XI heavily but have enough quality in reserve to secure a comfortable victory over the Shrews at the Croud Meadow.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.88%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
