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League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
LO

Lincoln
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Makama (47'), Draper (77')
Erhahon (19'), Roughan (66'), Jefferies (67'), Hamilton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Agyei (81')
Simpson (30'), Ball (50'), Pratley (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient

With Leyton Orient having only lost once in five outings, Lincoln may not have it all their own way this weekend. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through with another maximum points that could see them edge into the automatic promotion spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
44.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (0.010000000000005 0.01)56.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)35.36% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)72.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 44.85%
    Leyton Orient 28.17%
    Draw 26.96%
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.17%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Wigan
Saturday, September 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Lincoln
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-0 Wrexham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-4 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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