Northampton have restored some much-needed belief with a seven-point haul from their last three matches, and we think that they will do enough to hold Lincoln to a draw to make it four consecutive league matches without defeat.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
0.75) 
-0.83) 
