SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
38.61% ( -0.01) | 28.33% ( 0) | 33.06% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.01) | 59.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.01% ( -0.01) | 79.99% ( 0.01) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( -0.01) | 29.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.91% ( -0.02) | 66.09% ( 0.02) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( 0) | 33.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.83% | 70.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 38.61% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.33% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0)0-2 @ 6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.06% |
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