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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
S

Lincoln
0 - 0
Stevenage


Montsma (10'), Darikwa (54')
FT

Kemp (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Stevenage
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Stevenage

With Lincoln having lost their last three fixtures, Stevenage will fancy themselves to earn something from this game. Given that the visitors have also struggled for wins of late, a low-scoring draw appears to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
40.12% (0.772 0.77) 29.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 30.86% (-0.683 -0.68)
Both teams to score 44.08% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.56% (0.143 0.14)62.43% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.94% (0.103 0.1)82.05% (-0.107 -0.11)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.54% (0.52800000000001 0.53)30.46% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.33% (0.624 0.62)66.66% (-0.628 -0.63)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.39% (-0.434 -0.43)36.6% (0.431 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.6% (-0.438 -0.44)73.39% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.11%
    Stevenage 30.86%
    Draw 29.01%
Lincoln CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.92% (0.095 0.09)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.185 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.083 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.038 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 11.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.63% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 30.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Rotherham
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Lincoln
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Lincoln
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Reading
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Stevenage
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Bristol Rovers
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-3 Wycombe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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