Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lincoln City in this match.
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