SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 43.57% | 24.95% ( 0) | 31.49% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.4% ( -0.02) | 46.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.13% ( -0.02) | 68.87% ( 0.02) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.01) | 21.41% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.58% ( -0.02) | 54.42% ( 0.02) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.01) | 27.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.37% ( -0.02) | 63.63% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 43.57% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.49% |
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