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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
SC

Stevenage
2 - 1
Stockport

Kemp (22'), Reid (55' pen.)
Roberts (43'), Thompson (45'), Butler (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Camps (26')
Camps (40'), Bate (60'), Hinchliffe (67')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Stevenage 1-1 Stockport County

Though Stockport County have not drawn any of their last 12 matches, they may find themselves frustrated by Stevenage's defence. Additionally, given Stevenage are the lowest scorers in the division, Saturday's game is unlikely to be a high scoring affair and could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawStockport County
41.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 27.27% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 31.67% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 49.25% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.9% (0.024000000000001 0.02)56.1% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (0.018000000000001 0.02)77.17% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.13% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)62.18% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)32.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.016000000000002 0.02)69.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 41.04%
    Stockport County 31.68%
    Draw 27.27%
StevenageDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.04%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 31.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Stevenage
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Gillingham (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Reading
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-0 Stockport
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Stockport
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One


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