SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Stockport County |
32.71% ( -0.08) | 26.44% ( 0.02) | 40.85% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.16% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.45% ( -0.13) | 52.54% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.79% ( -0.11) | 74.2% ( 0.1) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0.12) | 30.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.72% ( -0.14) | 66.28% ( 0.14) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( -0.03) | 25.34% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( -0.04) | 60.13% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.85% |
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