SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Stockport County |
33.58% ( -0.13) | 24.31% ( -0.06) | 42.1% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.65% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.04% ( 0.26) | 42.95% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.64% ( 0.26) | 65.35% ( -0.26) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.07% ( 0.04) | 24.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( 0.07) | 59.55% ( -0.07) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( 0.19) | 20.54% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.94% ( 0.31) | 53.06% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 42.1% |
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