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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Centenario del Club Atletico Sarmiento
ID

Liverpool
1 - 1
Independiente

Rodriguez (79')
Rodriguez (11')
Martinez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ortiz (8')
Mercado (30'), Zabala (53')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Independiente del Valle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawIndependiente del Valle
30.26% (-0.133 -0.13) 27.36% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 42.38% (0.223 0.22)
Both teams to score 48.46% (0.209 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (0.291 0.29)56.84% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (0.233 0.23)77.77% (-0.23299999999999 -0.23)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (0.055999999999997 0.06)34.06% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (0.059000000000001 0.06)70.74% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.254 0.25)26.5% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (0.335 0.34)61.7% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 30.26%
    Independiente del Valle 42.37%
    Draw 27.36%
LiverpoolDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 30.26%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.36%
0-1 @ 11.98% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.52% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 42.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-1 Liverpool
Friday, March 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Danubio
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Maldonado
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Nacional
Sunday, February 25 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, February 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Dep. Pereira
Thursday, August 10 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Dep. Pereira 1-0 Independiente
Thursday, August 3 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Independiente (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 19 at 9pm in UEFA CONMEBOL Club Challenge
Last Game: Independiente 3-2 Argentinos Jrs
Thursday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Independiente 3-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, June 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Liverpool 1-0 Independiente
Wednesday, May 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores


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