SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 1-0 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livyi Bereh | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
24.21% ( 0.11) | 26.2% ( 0.04) | 49.59% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.08% ( -0.08) | 55.92% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.97% ( -0.07) | 77.02% ( 0.07) |
| Livyi Bereh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.05) | 38.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.71% ( 0.05) | 75.29% ( -0.05) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.1) | 22.6% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.78% ( -0.15) | 56.22% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livyi Bereh | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 24.21% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 12.95% 0-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.18% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.58% |
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