SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
37.28% ( -0.1) | 27.1% ( 0.14) | 35.61% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.19% ( -0.55) | 54.8% ( 0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( -0.46) | 76.11% ( 0.46) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% ( -0.32) | 28.39% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.86% ( -0.41) | 64.13% ( 0.4) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( -0.3) | 29.4% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( -0.37) | 65.39% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.27% | 1-1 @ 12.86% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.6% |
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