SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 54.6%. A win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 22.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.64%). The likeliest Zorya Luhansk win was 2-1 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
22.89% ( -0.11) | 22.51% ( 0.05) | 54.6% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 57.54% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( -0.36) | 42.01% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( -0.37) | 64.41% ( 0.36) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -0.3) | 32.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( -0.34) | 68.52% ( 0.34) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% ( -0.11) | 15.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% ( -0.2) | 44.06% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zorya Luhansk | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.89% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.5% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 54.6% |
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