SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
33.12% ( -0.16) | 28.17% ( 0.03) | 38.71% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 47.01% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.9% ( -0.14) | 59.1% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.45% ( -0.11) | 79.55% ( 0.11) |
| Kolos Kovalivka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.8% ( -0.18) | 33.19% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.2% ( -0.2) | 69.8% ( 0.19) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( 0) | 29.63% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( 0) | 65.68% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kolos Kovalivka | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.11% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.7% |
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