SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Obolon Kyiv had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Obolon Kyiv win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zorya Luhansk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
34.66% ( 0.34) | 27.54% ( 0.03) | 37.79% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% ( -0.09) | 56.57% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% ( -0.07) | 77.55% ( 0.06) |
| Obolon Kyiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.17) | 30.87% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( 0.21) | 67.15% ( -0.21) |
| Zorya Luhansk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.06% ( -0.26) | 28.94% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.18% ( -0.33) | 64.82% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Obolon Kyiv | Draw | Zorya Luhansk |
| 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.79% |
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