Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 55.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.04) 
