SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
24.33% ( -0.04) | 24.17% ( -0) | 51.5% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.73% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( -0.03) | 47.86% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( -0.02) | 70.04% ( 0.03) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( -0.05) | 34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.32% ( -0.05) | 70.68% ( 0.05) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.42% ( 0.01) | 18.58% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.15% ( 0.01) | 49.85% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 24.33% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.17% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.49% |
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