SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.8%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
65.45% ( -0.74) | 20.92% ( 0.61) | 13.62% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 45.04% ( -1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -2.2) | 49.76% ( 2.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( -2.01) | 71.77% ( 2.01) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( -0.92) | 14.42% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.65% ( -1.81) | 42.35% ( 1.82) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.63% ( -1.15) | 47.37% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.23% ( -0.88) | 82.76% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.73) 2-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.27)4-0 @ 4% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.27% Total : 65.44% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.92% | 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2% Total : 13.62% |
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