SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
45.29% ( -0.75) | 24.81% ( 0.37) | 29.91% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.25% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -1.44) | 46.68% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -1.36) | 68.95% ( 1.36) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.91) | 20.68% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -1.46) | 53.27% ( 1.46) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.91% ( -0.46) | 29.09% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.99% ( -0.57) | 65.01% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartak Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.29% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.91% |
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