Not only do Qarabag have a precious lead to defend in Razgrad, but they can also benefit from years of accrued European experience. Ludogorets are certainly no newcomers to UEFA competition, but they may have to make do with a consolation place in the Europa League.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 51.7%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%).