Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 60.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 18.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
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