SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Petah Tikva win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Petah Tikva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
40.45% ( 0.36) | 27.29% ( -0.18) | 32.25% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 49.37% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.97% ( 0.66) | 56.03% ( -0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( 0.54) | 77.11% ( -0.54) |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( 0.51) | 27.16% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( 0.66) | 62.56% ( -0.66) |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( 0.22) | 32.21% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( 0.25) | 68.7% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 2% Total : 40.45% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.25% |
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