Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.28%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.01) 
