Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Granada had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
