Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 54.88%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 17.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.