Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
0.15) 
-0.18) 
