SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 6.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.32%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
82.13% ( 0.56) | 11.54% ( -0.25) | 6.34% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.06% ( -0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.04) | 27.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.39% ( -0.05) | 48.61% ( 0.06) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.97% ( 0.09) | 5.03% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.94% ( 0.26) | 20.06% ( -0.25) |
| West Ham United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.91) | 47.3% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.29% ( -0.69) | 82.71% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | West Ham United Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.2)1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 5.93% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)6-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.1% Total : 82.12% | 1-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 11.54% | 1-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 6.34% |
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