SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 86.07%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 4.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.42%) and 0-4 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
4.36% ( -0.26) | 9.57% ( -0.37) | 86.07% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.62% ( 0.64) | 27.38% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.03% ( 0.8) | 47.97% ( -0.8) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.29% ( -0.49) | 53.72% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.9% ( -0.31) | 87.1% ( 0.31) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.71% ( 0.21) | 4.29% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.19% ( 0.66) | 17.81% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 1-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.53% Total : 4.36% | 1-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.54% Total : 9.57% | 0-3 @ 11.99% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 11.42% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 9.44% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 7.45% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.17)1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.16)0-5 @ 5.94% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 5.87% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 3.69% ( 0.09)0-6 @ 3.12% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)1-6 @ 1.94% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)0-7 @ 1.4% ( 0.09)2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.15% Total : 86.06% |
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